Lots of things can kill us, but variations on the threats from respiratory failure will always feature among the worst because our lungs are a tennis courts of great inspiration and opportunity especially as substrates for infection. ... and especially when we are immunologically or physiologically vulnerable.
Or Stressed ---Like when we standout side our house in arctic breeze to greet our friends because the Andrews government has decided we can longer meet by the fire in our homes .
Dr Andrews is particular focused on the high infectivity of the virus ( fair enough - 1 fact) , but if the only result of all his testing and high levels of transmission control is ( For eg - a very incomplete register of just where the 14 day response was acute ?) a lowered level of colds, viruses and deaths associated ( not caused) with the virus , all his talk of "wicked and dangerous" and " his way of getting through it '( when it will pass in spite of his brilliance ) will send his current high popularity into the dark of a stalled economy , work and sound "family" support
Proving "me a good poly who can do things" is seen to be what it is---- a desperate effort to prove same ?
His East melbourne bubble group ( not one known for effectiveness in HH and family care ) are continuing to find new words and ideas to frame their ongoing confusion of the real microbial realities and risks ,
Like so many the daily graph of my latest plot of ONLY 2 forms latest data suits the pedants.
The abuse of words like hotspots ( means UR happy to chase the horse) , waves( normally implies a degree of immunity, but used to threaten panic) hubs ( all close associations risk build up , so how can they be consistent when attacks on those who get too close together ? why don't they encourage events where people keep their distance - church and stadium , beach ) clusters , bubbles ,
The abuse of freedom . Dr Andrews has made on the spot fines apply when normally one has the chance to goto court for failing to show good judgement ( no we live in police state where laws are the quickest and most appropriate way to get things done )
All the threats, not just one conveniently named threat ( mere description attempts ) eg Potentially lethal Respiratory tract association ( other agents are likely to be involved - not just COVID19)
So why have the ongoing threats from a virus infection we have uncomfortably lived with in various forms for decades become the reason to close down our society in the middle of 2020. Its not as though we really know how to stop these variations and associations of microbes and the failure of our comon means of inoculation from working, Things like hooping cough and antibiotic resistance have come back to remind us that our technology for dealing with the threats of nature are not as strong as we like to think them to be . We appear to standing on the edge of a cliff ,but is it just a virus ? - clearly not
That's the point - we are in a panic mode . Suddenly the optimism that comes with technological faith is shown to be not working( as it does when you can't in crisis back fill the cracks as governments normally do )
Epidemiologists the world over would have been shocked how the crass political mind has jumped at straws that are NOT proven to be helpful
-( masks( any masks)
-- tracing ( mouth to mouth when it might be mist to mist)
-arrowto the heart presumptions ( you get the risk you are done for)
- no discusion of herd immunity
-sanitisation ;
-the vain hope idea of inoculation
Expensive unproven ideas that even distract people from doing what measures we know do help ( sterilization of hard surfaces) to things we know do not ( sterilization of substrates- like our hands _) The medai too seem to milk the "fear motivates factor" by not publishing or asking questions about tracing asymptomatic 'cases" and further defining them (eg those people that die with COVID and those that die because of it ( as you would do with pneumonia )
The confusion in Victoria has extended to running around with a bus to test find and fear antigen responses in crowded areas where one would normally be expected to find large numbers of " cases : herd immunity to be developing . Instead of seeing this as a good thing" the testers and tracing pedants whose view does not understand thresholds and the complex basis of the tests themselves ( measuring antibodies ; Not presence or absence of the virus as is often presumed) )
What ever happened to educating the public - bringing the people with you ?
The Victorian government are increasingly reverting back to their new bad habits of trying to coerce people rather than educate them . The idea that the people in charge know things is fine; not bringing the people with you in a time of threat is not . For some of us it makes us think our leaders are their limits of their theological and scientific epistemology.
1. No policy appears to be in place to help the public understand why severely economic and social impacting measures are chosen and why exceptions for PC crowds and PC lifestyles are exempt) making Andrews government not only highly not credible, but in contempt )
2. The normal nature and meaning of the waves is not explained resulting in predictable wild speculation about what CAN happen when what could be expected with waves is a sign of hope. ( increasing herd immunity. If normal immunological expectations have changed, the government should tell us - such sharing is also the safest way to prevent the revolt which now looks like threatening the cooperation of the public ;
Mr Andrews shallow ideas of what works and how to deal with things comes to the fore -
If only the tracer chaser would stop sending his bus to the latest" hot spot"
maybe the realisation will hit , that while tests don't show it ( the titre doesn't reach a threshold?) the infection is more widespread than dilittant Dr andrews crew suggest ,
Instead of closing ourhome s and our faces we can all go back to minimizing risk and not trying to isolate in such an extreme fashion.
WE need confidence that the country is doing its best to come together to deal with the threats. that the possibility that mist to mist is happening not just mouth to mouth hs been considered.
no more hiding behind brute death and case figures ( detah from COVID ? death with COVID . where tests were taken and what they mean )
